Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.399449 3.972904 4.582921 5.277013 6.041724 6.855492 7.783850
2024-10-20 2.581231 3.370473 4.272318 5.365612 6.641626 8.070862 9.779497
2024-10-27 1.931628 2.816049 3.898616 5.288918 6.994718 8.988365 11.462679
2024-11-03 1.552994 2.507015 3.749025 5.424506 7.565925 10.154139 13.459832
2024-11-10 1.252544 2.235956 3.594029 5.510426 8.049684 11.208308 15.340490
2024-11-17 0.962599 1.918330 3.323353 5.398626 8.247326 11.889478 16.762183
2024-11-24 0.732009 1.639040 3.060514 5.255934 8.371974 12.457988 18.036299
2024-12-01 0.575819 1.444873 2.891563 5.217969 8.618091 13.174291 19.501398
2024-12-08 0.446345 1.265534 2.717063 5.146662 8.799350 13.795180 20.843554
2024-12-15 0.391929 1.217740 2.748726 5.384147 9.423433 15.024421 23.009978
2024-12-22 0.317910 1.109369 2.660549 5.421219 9.748558 15.844244 24.639252
2024-12-29 0.288486 1.093526 2.733092 5.717011 10.463891 17.219293 27.041105
2025-01-05 0.251334 1.052074 2.757554 5.941241 11.090215 18.501153 29.366969
2025-01-12 0.206744 0.977808 2.709837 6.039179 11.525327 19.522048 31.356487
2025-01-19 0.155191 0.863332 2.565348 5.956641 11.671632 20.127463 32.778654
2025-01-26 0.129469 0.816786 2.553621 6.104378 12.182940 21.270281 34.968431
2025-02-02 0.104745 0.761891 2.515189 6.197897 12.605769 22.287442 36.992846
2025-02-09 0.074174 0.665665 2.368081 6.076546 12.669211 22.768440 38.259346
2025-02-16 0.049739 0.573245 2.211766 5.921499 12.664499 23.140326 39.368893
2025-02-23 0.034894 0.511582 2.119017 5.880238 12.844675 23.790507 40.884794
2025-03-02 0.022962 0.449953 2.013547 5.802693 12.955600 24.332361 42.246809
2025-03-09 0.019936 0.447386 2.069962 6.060897 13.655687 25.794941 44.975015
2025-03-16 0.013984 0.411344 2.024471 6.101179 13.972635 26.665446 46.841591